🕊️ Ceasefire in Question
- Iran denies any formal agreement — Tehran’s Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi stated that no ceasefire deal has been reached and made clear that Iran would only halt attacks if Israel stops first.
- Iran alleges strikes despite truce — Iran’s military spokesperson said Israel launched three distinct attacks around 9 a.m., mere minutes after the truce was announced.
🚀 Immediate Military Response
- Israel orders strikes on Tehran — Cutting through the uncertainty, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz confirmed he had instructed high-intensity strikes on Tehran in retaliation, claiming Iran broke the ceasefire.
- Iran refutes missile launches — Iran’s Armed Forces General Staff denies launching any missiles toward Israel during the ceasefire period.
🎯 Strategic and Regional Stakes
- Conflict lines blur — Despite President Trump’s announcement of a “forever” ceasefire, both sides are already rearming and planning further attacks if the other side maintains aggression
- Civilian toll rises — Iranian missile barrages have struck cities like Beersheba, causing civilian deaths and widespread sirens — the fragile truce is showing signs of collapse.
- Economic relief is tentative — Global markets initially rallied and oil prices dropped on the ceasefire news, but the resumption of strikes has introduced caution
❗ Bottom Line
- No robust ceasefire in effect — conflicting claims, conflicting evidence.
- Iran contends it’s reactive and conditional; Israel insists its military must continue.
- The situation remains highly volatile, with further escalation still likely.
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